2019 CSCE Annual Conference - Laval (Greater Montreal)

2019 CSCE Annual Conference - Laval (Greater Montreal) Conference


Title
Decision Support System for Public Private Partnership Investment in Water Projects

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Author(s)
Dr. Emad Elwakil, Purdue University
Dr. Mohamed Hegab, California State University , Northridge (Presenter)
Abstract

Developing positive cash flow projects depends on the inclination and ability of the customers to pay for the offered services. This paper presents an analytical system/method to help Public Private Partnership (PPP) developers and investors to select the region or the area that has the affordability to pay back the loan using Gross National Income (GNI) and access to potable water. A decision making system that includes a model and four investment groups has been developed to categorize the countries into investment groups. The Data used in this paper were collected from 195 countries as well as the percentage of their respective populations that have access to potable water. K-means and Regression Analysis techniques have been used to build the investment groups and the decision making model. The developed system/method has been validate using real data of 40 countries through Average Validity Percent (89.5 %), and R-squared (85.0 %) which, show satisfactory results.